The MLB Draft lottery will take place at 5:30 p.m. Tuesday and will air on the MLB Network. The Red Sox and other teams will learn their 2025 draft position.
Boston finished the 2024 season with an 81-81 record, the major’s 13th-worst record. So the Red Sox’ best odds are to receive the 13th overall pick. For example, they finished the 2023 season with the 12th-worst record and ended up receiving the 12th overall pick.
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So that’s likely how it will play out tonight — but don’t rule out a Cleveland miracle.
The Cleveland Guardians won last year’s lottery despite having a 2% chance and drafted Oregon State’s Travis Bazzana first overall.
The Red Sox have only a 1.2% chance at the No. 1 overall pick this year. But as last year showed, anything can happen.
The Rockies and Marlins share the highest odds of winning the top pick. They both have a 22.5% chance.
The Angels have an 18% chance followed by the Nationals at 10.2%, the Blue Jays at 7.5%, the Pirates at 5.3%, the Reds at 3.7%, the Rangers at 2.5%, the Giants at 1.9%, the Rays at 1.5%, the Red Sox at 1.2% and the Twins at 1.1%. All the remaining eligible teams have less than a one percent chance.
The White Sox finished with MLB’s worst record in 2025, going 41-121. But they are ineligible for the top pick as a revenue sharer payor club that received a lottery pick in 2024. They will draft 10th.
